Market Pulse
Bitcoin trades at $81,020, down 2.8% over 24 hours with a session range of 2.7%. Ether has taken the harder hit at $2,431, off 5.5%, while solana (-6.6% to $108.52) and XRP (-5.2% to $1.35) extended the risk-off tone. Despite the sell-off, Binance perpetual funding remains marginally positive for BTC (+0.0034% per 8h, ~+3.8% annualized) and ETH (+0.0026%), suggesting the move has not yet forced long liquidations into negative-funding territory. XRP funding has flipped slightly negative at -0.0018%, consistent with light short pressure.
Options Positioning
ETHA stands out. The ETH ETF carries a put/call volume ratio of 1.13 against a 30-day IV of 45.1% — the richest vol among the BlackRock crypto products and a stance historically associated with hedging demand rather than directional conviction. IBIT, by contrast, shows a P/C volume of 0.82 with IV at 36.6%, and FBTC sits at 0.68 P/C with IV at 35.3% — bitcoin ETF chains lean call-skewed even on a down tape. IBIT open interest clusters at the $50 call strike (66.7K contracts, 9.1% above the live $45.83) and heavily at the $20 put strike (165.9K contracts, 56% below spot), a far-dated tail-hedge footprint rather than near-term defensive positioning. FBTC's $110 call cluster (4.7K OI, 56% above the live $70.48) reinforces the long-dated bitcoin upside bias. XRPC's P/C volume of 0.26 remains the most call-tilted chain in the ETF options tape.
Narrative
Sentiment turned on an InflowScan read that bitcoin ETFs logged their biggest redemption day since June in Wednesday's settled session, with ether products absorbing their worst outflows in roughly nine months — context that frames today's price action as flow-driven unwind rather than headline shock. Citi's note calling for a return to $113,000 circulated but failed to arrest selling. Ether's test of its $2,565 support zone, flagged pre-market, has now broken, and the move through that level accelerated the morning leg lower.
Afternoon Watch
- Settled ETF flow prints for Thursday's session land in tomorrow's pre-market — the key read on whether redemption pressure extended through today's drawdown.
- USDC supply contracted $593M over 24 hours against USDT's +$166M expansion; the net stablecoin drawdown is historically associated with capital exiting rather than staging on the sidelines.
- ETH's $2,431 handle and the broken $2,565 shelf remain the technical reference points into the U.S. close.